Evolution in a spatially structured population subject to rare epidemics

Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2001 Apr;63(4 Pt 1):041908. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.63.041908. Epub 2001 Mar 29.

Abstract

We study a model that gives rise to spatially inhomogeneous population densities in a system of host individuals subject to rare, randomly distributed disease events. For stationary hosts that disperse offspring over short distances, evolutionary dynamics can lead to persistent populations with a variety of spatial structures. A mean-field analysis is shown to account for the behavior observed in simulations of a one-dimensional system, where the evolutionarily stable state corresponds to the solution of a straightforward optimization problem. In two dimensions, evolution drives the system to a stable critical state that is less well understood.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Biological Evolution
  • Disease Outbreaks*
  • Models, Biological
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Physical Phenomena
  • Physics
  • Population Dynamics
  • Statistics as Topic
  • Time Factors