1 Cancer Research UK Centre for Epidemiology, Mathematics and Statistics, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London. Electronic address: s.w.duffy@qmul.ac.uk.
2 Eastern Cancer Registration and Information Centre Unit C, Cambridge.
3 Cancer Research UK Centre for Epidemiology, Mathematics and Statistics, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London.
4 Department of Research Oncology, King's College London and Guy's and St Thomas' National Health Service Foundation Trust, Guy's Hospital, London.
5 Cambridge Breast Unit, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, UK.