Background: Adjuvant chemotherapy following curative surgery for locally advanced gastric cancer (AGC) significantly improves long-term patient prognosis. However, delayed chemotherapy (DC), in which patients are unable to receive timely treatment, is a common phenomenon in clinical practice for various reasons. This study aimed to investigate the impact of DC on the prognosis of patients with stage II-III locally AGC and explore the associated risk factors.
Methods: Data from four prospective studies were included in the pooled analysis. The planned chemotherapy (PC) group was defined as the time interval between surgery and the first chemotherapy ≤ 49 d, while the DC group was defined as the time interval between surgery and chemotherapy > 49 d. The prognosis, recurrence, and risk factors were compared, and a nomogram for predicting DC was established.
Results: In total, 596 patients were included, of whom 531 (89.1%) had PC and 65 (10.9%) had DC. Survival analysis revealed that the 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were significantly lower in the DC group than those in the PC group (log-rank P < 0.001). Cox univariable and multivariable analyses showed that DC was an independent risk factor for OS and DFS in stage II-III patients (P < 0.05). Based on the significant factors for DC, a prediction model was established that had a good fit, high accuracy (AUC = 0.780), and clinical applicability in both the training and validation sets.
Conclusion: Delayed chemotherapy after gastrectomy is associated with poor long-term prognosis in patients with locally advanced stage II-III GC disease. But standardized, full-cycle adjuvant chemotherapy after surgery may play a remedial role, and can to a certain extent compensate the poor effects caused by delayed chemotherapy.
Keywords: Chemotherapy delayed; Gastric cancer; Model; Prognosis; Risk factor.
© 2024. The Author(s) under exclusive licence to The International Gastric Cancer Association and The Japanese Gastric Cancer Association.