Human tumors are diverse in their natural history and response to treatment, which in part results from genetic and transcriptomic heterogeneity. In clinical practice, single-site needle biopsies are used to sample this diversity, but cancer biomarkers may be confounded by spatiogenomic heterogeneity within individual tumors. Here we investigate clonally expressed genes as a solution to the sampling bias problem by analyzing multiregion whole-exome and RNA sequencing data for 450 tumor regions from 184 patients with lung adenocarcinoma in the TRACERx study. We prospectively validate the survival association of a clonal expression biomarker, Outcome Risk Associated Clonal Lung Expression (ORACLE), in combination with clinicopathological risk factors, and in stage I disease. We expand our mechanistic understanding, discovering that clonal transcriptional signals are detectable before tissue invasion, act as a molecular fingerprint for lethal metastatic clones and predict chemotherapy sensitivity. Lastly, we find that ORACLE summarizes the prognostic information encoded by genetic evolutionary measures, including chromosomal instability, as a concise 23-transcript assay.
Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01888601.
© 2025. The Author(s).