Machine-learning assisted discovery unveils novel interplay between gut microbiota and host metabolic disturbance in diabetic kidney disease

Gut Microbes. 2025 Dec;17(1):2473506. doi: 10.1080/19490976.2025.2473506. Epub 2025 Mar 6.

Abstract

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is a serious healthcare dilemma. Nonetheless, the interplay between the functional capacity of gut microbiota and their host remains elusive for DKD. This study aims to elucidate the functional capability of gut microbiota to affect kidney function of DKD patients. A total of 990 subjects were enrolled consisting of a control group (n = 455), a type 2 diabetes mellitus group (DM, n = 204), a DKD group (n = 182) and a chronic kidney disease group (CKD, n = 149). Full-length sequencing of 16S rRNA genes from stool DNA was conducted. Three findings are pinpointed. Firstly, new types of microbiota biomarkers have been created using a machine-learning (ML) method, namely relative abundance of a microbe, presence or absence of a microbe, and the hierarchy ratio between two different taxonomies. Four different panels of features were selected to be analyzed: (i) DM vs. Control, (ii) DKD vs. DM, (iii) DKD vs. CKD, and (iv) CKD vs. Control. These had accuracy rates between 0.72 and 0.78 and areas under curve between 0.79 and 0.86. Secondly, 13 gut microbiota biomarkers, which are strongly correlated with anthropometric, metabolic and/or renal indexes, concomitantly identified by the ML algorithm and the differential abundance method were highly discriminatory. Finally, the predicted functional capability of a DKD-specific biomarker, Gemmiger spp. is enriched in carbohydrate metabolism and branched-chain amino acid (BCAA) biosynthesis. Coincidentally, the circulating levels of various BCAAs (L-valine, L-leucine and L-isoleucine) and their precursor, L-glutamate, are significantly increased in DM and DKD patients, which suggests that, when hyperglycemia is present, there has been alterations in various interconnected pathways associated with glycolysis, pyruvate fermentation and BCAA biosynthesis. Our findings demonstrate that there is a link involving the gut-kidney axis in DKD patients. Furthermore, our findings highlight specific gut bacteria that can acts as useful biomarkers; these could have mechanistic and diagnostic implications.

Keywords: Diabetic kidney disease; branched-chain amino acids; machine learning; microbiota.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Bacteria* / classification
  • Bacteria* / genetics
  • Bacteria* / isolation & purification
  • Bacteria* / metabolism
  • Biomarkers
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / complications
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / metabolism
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / microbiology
  • Diabetic Nephropathies* / metabolism
  • Diabetic Nephropathies* / microbiology
  • Feces / microbiology
  • Female
  • Gastrointestinal Microbiome* / physiology
  • Humans
  • Machine Learning*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • RNA, Ribosomal, 16S / genetics
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic / metabolism
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic / microbiology

Substances

  • RNA, Ribosomal, 16S
  • Biomarkers

Grants and funding

This research was funded by grants from the Ministry of Health and Welfare (Smart Healthcare for Obesity Therapeutics, PD-109-GP-02, MG-110-GP-03 and MG-111-GP-03 to HKS and MG-112-GP-03 to WHHS; Development of Precision Prevention and Treatment Strategies for Metabolic and Related Chronic Diseases: Prediction and Implementation of an Intelligent Prediction System, MG-113-GP-03 to WHHS), and from Chang Gung Memorial Hospital (CRRPG2H0121-124 to IWW; CORPG3N1481-1482 and CMRPG3K2241-2243 to CHY; CMRPG2K0141-142 to CCL).