ALBI Grade Enables Risk Stratification for Bleeding Events and Refines Prognostic Prediction in Advanced HCC Following Atezolizumab and Bevacizumab

J Hepatocell Carcinoma. 2025 Apr 4:12:671-683. doi: 10.2147/JHC.S462701. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

Background and aims: Atezolizumab and bevacizumab (A+B) are recommended for treating unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although highly effective, A+B can lead to potentially life-threatening adverse events including bleeding. We investigated whether albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade identifies patients with a higher risk of bleeding and its impact on prognosis than the Child-Pugh (CP) score.

Methods: We performed a multicenter retrospective study of 15 tertiary referral centers that consecutively treated patients with A+B. We analyzed the association between the ALBI grade and gastrointestinal bleeding using the χ2 test. Overall survival (OS) stratified by ALBI was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the predictive value for the 6-months OS landmark with ROC curves.

Results: Of the 368 patients included in the analysis, 163 (44.3%), 192 (52.2%) and 13 (3.5%) had ALBI 1, ALBI 2, and ALBI 3, respectively. ALBI grade was associated with a 3-fold increase in bleeding risk (3.1% in ALBI 1 vs 10.2% in ALBI 2/3, p=0.008). Among 192 patients with pre-treatment EGD, G2 and G3 varices were associated with an increased risk of bleeding, whereas G1 varices had a similar risk as no varices. Patients with ALBI 1 achieved a longer median OS (not reached; 95% CI, 24.9-33.7), than ALBI 2 (9.7 months; 95% CI, 7.0-12.3) or ALBI 3 (5.6 months; 95% CI, 0.1-12.0). ALBI outperformed the CP score for predicting 6-month OS with an AUC 0.79 of ALBI versus 0.71 for the CP score (p=0.01).

Conclusion: A Higher ALBI grade was associated with an increased risk of gastrointestinal bleeding after receiving A+B, and outperformed the CP score in predicting worse survival.

Keywords: ALBI; bleeding risk; hepatocellular carcinoma; systemic treatment.

Grants and funding

A D’Alessio is supported by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Imperial BRC, by grant funding from the European Association for the Study of the Liver (2021 Andrew Burroughs Fellowship) and from Cancer Research UK (RCCPDB- Nov21/100008). DJ Pinato is supported by grant funding from the Wellcome Trust Strategic Fund (PS3416), the Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro (AIRC MFAG 25697) and acknowledges grant support from the Cancer Treatment and Research Trust (CTRT), the Foundation for Liver Research (Small Grant Scheme), and infrastructural support by the Imperial Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre and the NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre.