[Advances in the application of machine learning-related combined models in infectious disease prediction]

Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2025 Jun 10;46(6):1085-1094. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20240917-00580.
[Article in Chinese]

Abstract

When the epidemiology of infectious diseases is more complex, it is often difficult for disease prediction studies based on a single model to capture the multidimensional nature of disease transmission. In recent years, combining different models to improve infectious disease prediction has gradually become a research trend and hotspot. Existing studies have shown that combined models usually have higher prediction performance and better generalization ability. The current combined models mainly combine machine learning and other models, including time-series models, dynamic models, etcetera. In addition, integrated learning that combines diverse machine learning techniques also holds significant importance across various research domains. This paper reviews the progress of applying combined models around machine learning in infectious disease prediction to promote the innovation and practice of combined models for infectious diseases and help to build smarter and more efficient infectious disease early warning and prediction methods and systems.

当传染病流行情况较为复杂时,基于单一模型的传染病预测研究往往难以捕捉疾病传播的多维性质。近年来,将不同模型组合以改善传染病预测效果逐渐成为研究趋势和热点。现有研究表明,组合模型在多数时候确实具有更高的预测性能和更好的泛化能力。目前的组合模型主要围绕机器学习与其他模型间的组合展开,包括时间序列模型、动力学模型等。此外,结合不同机器学习方法的集成学习也在各研究领域中发挥着重要作用。本文围绕结合机器学习的组合模型在传染病预测领域中的应用进展进行综述,以期推动传染病组合模型的创新与实践,助力构建更加智能、高效的传染病预警预测方法和体系。.

Publication types

  • Review
  • English Abstract

MeSH terms

  • Communicable Diseases* / epidemiology
  • Forecasting
  • Humans
  • Machine Learning*