Efficacy of Neoadjuvant Therapy in Gallbladder Cancer - a meta-analysis utilising reconstructed time-to-event data

J Gastrointest Surg. 2025 Jun 26:102133. doi: 10.1016/j.gassur.2025.102133. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Background: Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is an aggressive malignancy with poor prognosis due to its late-stage diagnosis and high recurrence rates after surgery. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has been explored as a strategy to improve resectability, downstage tumors, and target micro-metastatic disease. However, the efficacy of NAC remains inconclusive due to heterogeneous study designs. This meta-analysis evaluates the impact of NAC compared to upfront surgery on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in GBC patients.

Methods: A systematic review was conducted following PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO: CRD42024621395). PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched for studies reporting on GBC patients receiving NAC followed by surgery or upfront surgery. Kaplan-Meier curves from studies were digitized and reconstructed, and a one-stage meta-analysis was performed. The primary objective was evaluating OS, while secondary objectives included evaluating DFS, postoperative complications, and surgical futility.

Results: Thirteen studies (n=6059) were included, with four studies comparing NAC to upfront surgery and nine single-arm studies evaluating NAC outcomes alone. NAC was associated with significantly improved OS (HR=0.54, 95%CI: 0.47; 0.62) compared to upfront surgery. DFS analysis showed a median of 42.9 months (95%CI: 33.9; 56) in NAC-treated patients. Postoperative complication rates were similar between groups, while the proportion of patients unable to proceed to surgery due to disease progression was lower in the NAC group (Proportion=0.16, 95%CI: 0.05; 0.38) than in the upfront surgery group (Proportion=0.27, 95%CI: 0.05; 0.73).

Conclusion: NAC in GBC is associated with an improved OS and reduced surgical futility without an increase in postoperative morbidity. These findings highlight the need for randomised controlled trials to validate NAC's role in treatment algorithms for resectable GBC.

Availability of data and materials: The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request. The data includes this study's statistical analysis plan, and will be available with publication through emailing the corresponding author.

Keywords: Cancer; Chemotherapy; Gallbladder; Neoadjuvant.