Epstein Barr virus antibody and cancer risk in two prospective cohorts in Southern China

Nat Commun. 2025 Jul 1;16(1):5940. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-60999-5.

Abstract

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) has been implicated in several human cancers, but its broader cancer risk remains unclear. We investigated the association between EBV VCA-IgA antibody levels and cancer risk in two large prospective cohorts from Southern China, comprising 73,939 adults. During around 8-10 years follow-up, 964 and 1026 incident cancer cases were identified in the Zhongshan and Wuzhou cohorts. VCA-IgA seropositivity was associated with higher age-standardized incidence rates for total cancer significantly. In pooled analyses, VCA-IgA seropositive individuals had higher risks of total cancer (HR 4.88, 95% CI: 2.84-8.37), lung cancer (1.76, 1.23-2.54), liver cancer (1.70, 1.10-2.63), nasopharyngeal carcinoma (26.05, 11.77-57.65), and lymphoma (3.20, 1.46-6.99) compared to seronegative individuals. The associations showed an increased dose-response pattern, and keep persistent even up to ten years prior to diagnosis. The population-attributable risk percentage for total cancer due to VCA-IgA seropositivity is estimated at 7.8%. These findings provide prospective evidence that EBV seropositivity is associated with increased risks of multiple cancers. This association results in a heightened attributed cancer burden in Southern China.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Antibodies, Viral* / blood
  • Antibodies, Viral* / immunology
  • Antigens, Viral / immunology
  • Capsid Proteins
  • China / epidemiology
  • Epstein-Barr Virus Infections* / complications
  • Epstein-Barr Virus Infections* / epidemiology
  • Epstein-Barr Virus Infections* / immunology
  • Epstein-Barr Virus Infections* / virology
  • Female
  • Herpesvirus 4, Human* / immunology
  • Humans
  • Immunoglobulin A / blood
  • Immunoglobulin A / immunology
  • Incidence
  • Lymphoma / epidemiology
  • Lymphoma / immunology
  • Lymphoma / virology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasms* / epidemiology
  • Neoplasms* / immunology
  • Neoplasms* / virology
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Antibodies, Viral
  • Immunoglobulin A
  • Antigens, Viral
  • Epstein-Barr viral capsid antigen
  • Capsid Proteins