A Systematic Approach to Mitigate Ozone Pollution in Northern Taiwan: Evidence from De-pollutant Analysis

Environ Pollut. 2025 Jun 30:126752. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2025.126752. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Strict air pollution control regulations in Taiwan have led to a gradual decrease in PM2.5 and most gaseous pollutants from 2012 to 2022, except for ozone (O3). With annual average concentrations frequently surpassing the Taiwan Ambient Air Quality Standards (AAQS) of 60 ppb (95th percentile of daily maximum 8-hour averages), O3 remains a major air quality concern in northern Taiwan. The present study applied machine learning (ML) models, including positive matrix factorization-eXtreme Gradient Boost-SHapely Additive Explanation (PMF-XGB-SHAP), on three years of hourly data to investigate the influence of meteorological parameters, emission sources and other pollutants on O3 formation at an urban site in Taipei. Then, novel de-pollutant models were developed by controlling the anthropogenic emission factors in the model to quantify the impact of reduction on ambient O3 levels, and de-weather was applied to assess the impact of meteorological parameters. Findings showed that meteorology contributed 46.7-54.8% and 44.9-54.0% to daytime and nighttime O3 levels, respectively, with relative humidity (RH) and boundary layer height (BLH) as dominant influencing factor. Among pollutants, NOX displayed a consistent negative association, while PM2.5 showed a positive relationship with daytime O3 levels. The association between vehicular VOCs and O3 varied across years, reflecting changes in traffic patterns. Furthermore, de-pollutant analysis demonstrated that simultaneous 50% reductions in CO, SO2, and VOCs from industrial emissions could lower O3 concentrations by 13.4-22.6% during pollution episode days. By providing a quantitative, source-specific pathway for precursor control, the de-pollutant modelling approach establishes a framework for air quality management in other regions grappling with complex, multi-source ozone pollution.

Keywords: De-pollutant Models; Emission Reduction; Ground-level Ozone; Northern Taiwan; Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) sources.